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Where is the Economy?

Commentary: Week of August 14, 2023 What’s going on with the markets and the economy?  Long-term Treasury yields are up substantially since last Fall while the stock market, after a big rally, has stumbled so far this month.  Meanwhile, the real economy appears to...

Here’s Something to “Fitch” About

Commentary: Week of August 07, 2023 What would you do if you won the Mega Millions?  It’s now up to a record $1.55 billion!  We would start a not-for-profit to educate people not to play the lottery.  Why? Your odds of winning are 1 in 302.6 million…you are 70 times...

Discount the Happy Talk

Commentary: Week of May 29, 2023 The stock market finished Friday on a high note, with the S&P 500 index just north of 4,200 for the first time since August 2022 and up 17.6% versus the market bottom in October. Part of recent gains are related to optimism about...

Agents of Change?

Commentary: Week of May 22, 2023 If you’ve been to a high school or college commencement lately, then you know the drill: at some point at least one speaker will urge the graduates to be “agents of change,” suggesting they’d like to see these students make the world a...

Battle of the Budget

Commentary: Week of May 15, 2023 It’s hard to open up a newspaper these days and not see a scary story about the debt ceiling debate.  The Biden Administration is saying that a “default” is approaching if an agreement isn’t reached soon. The US has enough revenue to...